Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.254503 0.296471 0.342866 0.397913 0.461401 0.532286 0.617393
2025-04-20 0.185752 0.242078 0.311208 0.402081 0.518175 0.661304 0.850942
2025-04-27 0.155378 0.219398 0.304036 0.423652 0.587834 0.804719 1.112366
2025-05-04 0.132492 0.199833 0.294458 0.436325 0.642717 0.930981 1.362905
2025-05-11 0.113484 0.181343 0.281905 0.440625 0.683469 1.039323 1.598211
2025-05-18 0.097320 0.163864 0.267332 0.438366 0.712137 1.130876 1.816647
2025-05-25 0.083685 0.147891 0.252248 0.432248 0.732540 1.210169 2.022775
2025-06-01 0.073140 0.135213 0.240347 0.428972 0.755904 1.294966 2.244742
2025-06-08 0.062601 0.120843 0.223452 0.414602 0.758171 1.344337 2.411864
2025-06-15 0.059805 0.119969 0.229736 0.441137 0.833484 1.523280 2.816576
2025-06-22 0.051847 0.108176 0.214684 0.426878 0.833730 1.571131 2.994895
2025-06-29 0.045042 0.097614 0.200494 0.412247 0.831120 1.612710 3.164673
2025-07-06 0.039179 0.088241 0.187653 0.399107 0.830741 1.660016 3.353573
2025-07-13 0.035769 0.083556 0.183626 0.403192 0.864841 1.776455 3.687829
2025-07-20 0.034329 0.082944 0.187886 0.424815 0.936688 1.973199 4.199396
2025-07-27 0.032243 0.080549 0.187999 0.437522 0.991193 2.140336 4.667337
2025-08-03 0.029723 0.076754 0.184519 0.441833 1.028019 2.274502 5.079751
2025-08-10 0.027027 0.072114 0.178497 0.439568 1.049899 2.378959 5.438626
2025-08-17 0.024387 0.067211 0.171217 0.433434 1.062222 2.463770 5.762704
2025-08-24 0.022210 0.063164 0.165451 0.430149 1.080635 2.563453 6.128897
2025-08-31 0.019671 0.057762 0.155646 0.415741 1.070981 2.598900 6.352703
2025-09-07 0.019451 0.058673 0.161900 0.442347 1.163675 2.877855 7.165494
2025-09-14 0.017310 0.053847 0.152674 0.428050 1.153287 2.914272 7.409648